Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.
Four indicators tell us a scary climate Change is more likely. Most are unaware, as they have taken the 1.5 degrees Net Zero. Research says tht the pipeline of CO2 and Methane will blow that out to 2 to 3 degrees by 2050. Aerosols, CO2 emission, and Methane are the major contributors
Robotaxis not Rail for Sunshine Coast is a novel view of the 25 years of planning transport from Brisbane to the Sunshine Coast. The project has reached another milestone. Is it the wrong one.
Electric vertical takeoff and landing craft – a combination of helicopter and airplane are coming in 2025 as production and regulations are met. Piloted, 4 seater aand first focus is cross city Uber style from downtown New York, Chicago, Los Angeles to the airport. Joby and Archer are well funded to be sucessful
What if AI Genetics can create an organism producing nitrogen nutrient inside the plant itself. Conventional greening of nitrogen fertilizer is using green hydrogen instead of fossil fuel. Will the trillion dollar market for nitrogen fertilizer be disrupted?
What is zero population growth? It is associated with carrying capacity or what is sustainable and equitable. Can the earth support 2 billion or 40 billion people? Population, food, energy house and labour workforce are discussed
100 Companies Reducing 71% of Emissions are the key to challenging the 100 companies who generated 70% of emissions. Solar, battery, wind and EV manufactures are driving changes in emissions.
100 companies are responsible for 71% of emissions – and just 25 fossil fuel companies are linked to 51% of emissions. Many have little investment in reduction of emissions. even 8 years on from a 2016 report identifying them.
The Australian Government released the background briefing paper – Cleaner, Cheaper Cars to Run – New Vehicle Efficiency Standard for Australia in January 2024 and plan to enact legislation in 2024. Download the full paper here. The Govt Infrastructure Dept came up with 3 scenarios and ask interested parties to provide submissions by early March 2024. Supposedly the preferred legislation…
The molten oxide electrolysis process by Boston Metals has the opportunity to revolutionise steel refining. During the past decade, they have progressed from lab scale to millions of tonnes industrial process and would enable rapid decarbonisation of the steel industry.
The Atlantic meridional overturning cirulating current coiuld be a major risk from climate change. No one can predict, but 7m sea rises and 5 degree termperature for Northern Europe.
Tidal and wave power are untapped energy resources yet despite 2 decades have scarely moved beyond demonstration and pilot systems. The marine environment is harse, bespoke and has severe enironmental and social barriers.
Multiple manufacturers announce progress in lithium batteries. Increasing density, decreasing cost, increasing range, faster charging, more cycle life. Will the 1000-mile battery make it into vehicles by 2030?
Globally, renewable energy is the dominant new electricity generation. The USA is followng other countries, particularly China with with over 99.8% electricity generation to come from solar wind and solar in 2024.
Chris Camillo predicts a business with the Tesla Optimus robot worth trillions by 2030. Two 2 years ago Tesla announced Optimus at AI day on 21st Aug 2021, with an updated AI day on 1st Oct 2022. Optimus gained motion, dexterity and brains. Tesla developed its hardware, and actuators and demonstrated tasks such as sorting balls, holding drills, and folding…
Red mud is a hazardous waste from aluminium production and research is underway to extract the steel from aluminium waste. Using waste product from the aluminium industry to produce valuable green steel is promising. Can it scale from lab scale to production in a timely manner – technically and economically? The world’s most-produced metals, iron and aluminium, have high environmental…
Green steel shouild be viewed as fast-to-abate not hard-to-abort as is generally viewed. Using renewable energy reduces emissions in all parts of the steel refinery emissions.
Tesla is leading the automotive industry in innovative manufacturing. EVs key focus is weight reduction. Will others catch up. The conclusion is Chinese will, but legacy will have too many barriers with management.
Google has delivered a geometry AI model that now out-performs the best school mathematical olympiads by providing 0.5b examples. The software is available through GitHub and mark a breakthrough into the capacity of AI to solve real world problems.
Custom design AI computer chips need faster and more available compute resources. Along with established NVidia, Intel are new entrants including Tesla Dojo and Cerebras Systems as they focus on hardware and software to increase speed and decrease power consumption
Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓
Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :
Understand Change.
Plan Change.
Implement Change.
Communicate Change.
Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:
First Industrial Revolution 1765
Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
Industry 4.0
This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.
Commercialising Innovative Technologies
About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.
They make money
They lose money
It is the law
The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.
Article Perspectives
Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.
Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?
Innovation is never a straight line.
Challenges to Transition
The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.
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