Commercialising Innovative Technologies is just change. Innovation is a change. Change in business models. Change in technology. These articles look at changes and innovation in these areas.

Electric Boats Are Slowly Coming to Market

Electric Boats Are Slowly Coming to Market

Electri motors make sense for propulsion on the water – and Torqueedo is the global leader in electric boats. Battery…
Electrical Management Systems Key to Efficiency

Electrical Management Systems Key to Efficiency

Electrical management systems have evolved from their large diesel engine power plant buinsess. They have flexible energ
Low Cost Solar With Thin Film

Low Cost Solar With Thin Film

Thin film solar ought to be a third of the cost of conventional PV panels and as low as 5…
Hydrogen Battery Storage

Hydrogen Battery Storage

The cost of hydrogen is a key metric if hydrogen can be used as long term storage in the energy…
Wind Turbines Kill Birds – Fact or Fiction

Wind Turbines Kill Birds – Fact or Fiction

Wind turbines do kill birds but are not the bird shredders especailly of rare birds such as raptors (eagles, kites)….
Mines To Reduce 80 Percent

Mines To Reduce 80 Percent

A major global disruption will be the exit of coal from thermal electricity generations. Much coal is consumed within the…
EU Bans ICE Vehicles by 2035

EU Bans ICE Vehicles by 2035

The EU commission has voted to ban sales of all internal Combustion engines in cars buses trucks motorcycles by 2035…
EV Startups going Broke

EV Startups going Broke

Tesla and Ford are the only 2 american car companies that have not gone bankrupt. A number of aspiring EV…
China Renewable Energy Plan

China Renewable Energy Plan

China has invested heavily in coal for electricity over the past 30 years but has made the switch to renewable…
Nuclear Power Subsidies are Huge

Nuclear Power Subsidies are Huge

Nuclear power is subsidized in most countries by billions of dollars, and ultimately consumers pay for this in small amounts…
Food and Agriculture Disruption by Fermentation

Food and Agriculture Disruption by Fermentation

Precision fermentation will see a collapse in the existing farming systems. With protein and fat made in fermentation vats, 90%…
Memes for Climate Deniers and Delayers

Memes for Climate Deniers and Delayers

An image can say a thousand words – and facts and figures won’t sway a climate denier or climate delayer….
Stop Burning Rocks for Energy

Stop Burning Rocks for Energy

We have burnt rocks for a million years and every year we burn 500 years of the products of the…
Electric Vehicle Numbers Increasing

Electric Vehicle Numbers Increasing

Electric vehicles are displacing conventional ICE vehicles and by 2025 Bloomberg NEF predicts 1 in 4 new cars will be…
5 Signs of Climate Deniers

5 Signs of Climate Deniers

The 5 signs of climate deniers or climagte delayers. The arguments may appear reasonable but they are generally anonymous, selective,…
Changes to Society from Disruptions

Changes to Society from Disruptions

The development of multiple streams of technology leads to disruption of an industry or society. What can be done to…
OffGrid Uninterruptible Electricity

OffGrid Uninterruptible Electricity

Backup generators have been used for conventional grid supplied electricity and are now moving to include batteries and solar to…
Nuclear Waste Problem

Nuclear Waste Problem

Waste from nuclear power plants is about 2kg per person per year. Small nuclear reactors, often promoted as a solution…
Who Owns Australias Electricity Grid

Who Owns Australias Electricity Grid

An improved electricity distributon network will be needed to transport energy from renewable energy generators (solar and wind) to cities…
Electric Tractor Models

Electric Tractor Models

Tractors is a very large industry globally and mostly diesel based with JCB announcing Hydrogen based emissions free tractors. A…

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓

Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Industry 4.0

This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspective

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line.

Commercialing innovative technologies
Innovation over the past 100 years has been an “S” Curve (from Tony Seba, www.RethinkX.com)

Challenges to Transition

The International Energey Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.

Change Discussion mineral requirements for EV
IEA, Revenue from production of coal and selected energy transition minerals in the Sustainable Development Scenario, 2020-2040, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/revenue-from-production-of-coal-and-selected-energy-transition-minerals-in-the-sustainable-development-scenario-2020-2040
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