Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.

Hydrogen Motorcycle Engines

Hydrogen Motorcycle Engines

Hydrogen for transportation won’t die, and the big 4 Japanese motorcycle manufacturers have joined together to develop hydrogen engines for…
Hydrogen Cult Madness

Hydrogen Cult Madness

Is Hydrogen like a cult? Hydrogen cult madness? Proponents claim that H2 will solve the renewable energy transition challenges but…
Direct Air Capture – Unproven

Direct Air Capture – Unproven

DAC is at best unproven and more likely a strategy by major oil companies to delay meaningful reduction in green…
Bard AI Model from Google

Bard AI Model from Google

The race with AI is continuing to run with Google releasing Bard in May 2023 competing with Microsoft Bing and…
Innovative Toroid Propeller Design

Innovative Toroid Propeller Design

The innovative toroid propeller design for drones from MIT and for boats by Sharrow Marine show R&D continues to improve…
Ethanol Worse than Gasoline for Global Warming

Ethanol Worse than Gasoline for Global Warming

Is ethanol worse than gasoline for global warming? Turns out it is worse! A recent publication showed that corn ethanol…
Gravity Batteries With Heavy Blocks

Gravity Batteries With Heavy Blocks

Gravity batteries using heavy blocks has moved from pilot phase to the first 2 demonstration plans in China (100MWh) and…
Grid Batteries Rapid Increase

Grid Batteries Rapid Increase

The latest figures from Tesla show a rapid increase in the amount of grid storage deployed globally in the first…
Sustainable Aviation Fuels Unrealistic

Sustainable Aviation Fuels Unrealistic

SAF or Sustainable Aircraft fuels are unrealistic. Used cooking oils are as expensive. Agriculture is challenges. Synthetic fuel is expensive….
Best-Selling Vehicles in USA in 2022

Best-Selling Vehicles in USA in 2022

The top 10 vehicles sales in the USA are driven by pick-up trucks – large vehicles that are perculiar to…
Uptake of Electric Motor Scooters is Rapid

Uptake of Electric Motor Scooters is Rapid

Electric motor scooter uptake is rapid in China and India and expected t be as rapid in other countries with…

Nano Silicon Anode for Batteries

Nano silicon for the battery anode is a recent development leading to a 15% increase in energy density and avoiding…
Carbon Capture and Storage Fail

Carbon Capture and Storage Fail

Carbon Capture and storage is a strategy for reducing carbon emissions but the evidence is that it is a scam…
Disruption with ChatGPT Large Learning Models

Disruption with ChatGPT Large Learning Models

ChatGPT has burst on the scene in late 2022 from OpenAI. It was not unexpected by those in the AI…
Earth’s Population is Too High

Earth’s Population is Too High

Are there too many people on the planet and who will volunteer for euthanasia. Or is this over stated and…
Estimates of Renewable Energy Are Overstated

Estimates of Renewable Energy Are Overstated

Most analysts state that the amount of renewable energy will need to be at least the same as energy used…
Nuclear Proponents Lack Economics

Nuclear Proponents Lack Economics

Many proponents of nuclear energy ignore the economics and try to dismiss them. Uranium is limited – estimated that if…
Butterfly Not a Caterpillar with Wings

Butterfly Not a Caterpillar with Wings

Taking an ICE car nad swapping out a motor is the same as saying a butterfly is a caterpillar with…
Faster Horse Fallacy – Experts Get it Wrong

Faster Horse Fallacy – Experts Get it Wrong

Faster horse fallacy or why experts get it wrong with disruptive technologies was coined by Tony Seba why smart people…
Sodium-Ion Battery for EVs Launched in China

Sodium-Ion Battery for EVs Launched in China

Sodium-ion battery chemistry has been keenly anticipated as alternative chemistry to lithium ion batteries in EV. Sehold have been first…

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓

Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Industry 4.0

This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line.

Commercialing innovative technologies
Innovation over the past 100 years has been an “S” Curve (from Tony Seba, www.RethinkX.com)

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.