Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.

Disruption with ChatGPT Large Learning Models

Disruption with ChatGPT Large Learning Models

ChatGPT has burst on the scene in late 2022 from OpenAI. It was not unexpected by those in the AI…
Earth’s Population is Too High

Earth’s Population is Too High

Are there too many people on the planet and who will volunteer for euthanasia. Or is this over stated and…
Estimates of Renewable Energy Are Overstated

Estimates of Renewable Energy Are Overstated

Most analysts state that the amount of renewable energy will need to be at least the same as energy used…
Nuclear Proponents Lack Economics

Nuclear Proponents Lack Economics

Many proponents of nuclear energy ignore the economics and try to dismiss them. Uranium is limited – estimated that if…
Butterfly Not a Caterpillar with Wings

Butterfly Not a Caterpillar with Wings

Taking an ICE car nad swapping out a motor is the same as saying a butterfly is a caterpillar with…
Faster Horse Fallacy – Experts Get it Wrong

Faster Horse Fallacy – Experts Get it Wrong

Faster horse fallacy or why experts get it wrong with disruptive technologies was coined by Tony Seba why smart people…
Sodium-Ion Battery for EVs Launched in China

Sodium-Ion Battery for EVs Launched in China

Sodium-ion battery chemistry has been keenly anticipated as alternative chemistry to lithium ion batteries in EV. Sehold have been first…
Synthetic Biofuels Using Bacteria

Synthetic Biofuels Using Bacteria

Synthetic biofuels using bacteria to create the biofuel from sugar and CO2 holds promise of creation of fuel with equivalent…
Alternate Battery Technology

Alternate Battery Technology

While lithium ion batteries are the mostly widely used, other battery technologies are avalable that are competitive in some applications….
Flow Batteries using Vanadium Iron Zinc-BR or HBr

Flow Batteries using Vanadium Iron Zinc-BR or HBr

Flow batteries are a valid option for community and grid based storage. The advantages of low life, simple expansion works….
Tesla Supercharger Network Billion Dollar Returns

Tesla Supercharger Network Billion Dollar Returns

Tesla could become the next “petrol” company with over $30 billion of revenue by opening up its supercharger network to…
Fossil Fuel Excess Profits of $134b

Fossil Fuel Excess Profits of $134b

Fossil fuel excess profits of $134b in 2022 are on the back of war and human suffering from climate change….
Tesla Masterplan Three 2023

Tesla Masterplan Three 2023

Tesla vision part 3 is to be announced on March 1st, 2023 at Investor Day. How will this differ from…
Ten Reasons Hydrogen Cars are Dead

Ten Reasons Hydrogen Cars are Dead

Hydrogen fuel cell cars are still promoted but they will be dead within 2 years due to emissions as bad…
Toyota No-EV Strategy Risks Japan’s Economy

Toyota No-EV Strategy Risks Japan’s Economy

Cars are a major contributor to Japans economy with 5.5m or 24% of employees, and contribute 14% of all exports….
Batteries win the Transport Race

Batteries win the Transport Race

It is becoming clear that batteries will drive the electrification of transport. Batteries are demonstrating that hydrogen and synthetic fuels…
Grid-Scale Batteries from Tesla

Grid-Scale Batteries from Tesla

Grid-scale batteries are an integral requirement to firm renewable energy, stabililise the grid with battery, wind and solar now the…
EV Adoption Increased in 2022 Globally

EV Adoption Increased in 2022 Globally

EV adoption is increasing and Bloomberg NEF has data showing nearly 50% of buses sold in 2022 were electric. Motorcycles…
Tesla Semi Compelling Economics

Tesla Semi Compelling Economics

The Tesla Semi large truck will be at least 84% cheaper for fuel costs than equivalent large diesel trucks. Combined…
Combination New Battery Innovation

Combination New Battery Innovation

Using a long lasting LFP battery in combination with an anode free battery with shorter lifespan is the approach taken…

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓

Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Industry 4.0

This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line.

Commercialing innovative technologies
Innovation over the past 100 years has been an “S” Curve (from Tony Seba, www.RethinkX.com)

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.