Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.

Iron Air Batteries

Iron Air Batteries

Ion air batteries for grid scale batteries target cost is $20KWh by 2030. Well funded, Form Energy is building a…
USA Inflation Reduction Act

USA Inflation Reduction Act

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has driven a huge investment in battery factories, hydrogen, wind and solar farms, battery…
Liquid Metals Battery

Liquid Metals Battery

Liquid Metals battery from Ambri are designed for grid operation. Modular in container sized units with 20 years or 5,000…
UK Nuclear vs Wind Electricity Cost

UK Nuclear vs Wind Electricity Cost

Wind is much cheaper than nuclear electricity in the UK and yet UK is considering small nuclear as well. Economic…
Robots for Airplanes With ChatGPT

Robots for Airplanes With ChatGPT

Robotics and large languge models (eg ChatGPT) from Korean researchers are good enough to fly airplanes. Still only in simulators…
PV Panels Supply Booming

PV Panels Supply Booming

The IRA USA within 12 months has driven over 100GW of production capacity with announcments and operating factories. Along with…
India PV Manufacturing Targets

India PV Manufacturing Targets

India is making investment to be the second largest solar panel PV manufacturer with a target of 110GW by 2026….
Value of Humanoid Robots

Value of Humanoid Robots

Humanoid robots have a huge economic change. With costs of $15,00 and replacing humans at $50,000 per year, how will…
Hydropower Reductions

Hydropower Reductions

Hydro has been the mainstay of renewable energy but droughts from climate change has reduced the energy produced by 250TWh…
Hydrogen Bus Trials

Hydrogen Bus Trials

Buses powered by Hydrogen are in the headlines – as the hydrogen industry try to muscle into the electric bus…
Electric Bus Rapid Growth

Electric Bus Rapid Growth

Electric buses costs have fallen in price. Charging is easier and cities globally are replacing dirty stinking diesel buses with…
Hydrogen Trains Uneconomic

Hydrogen Trains Uneconomic

Germany introduced hydrogen FCEV trains from 2018 in Frankfurt and Saxony areas. LNVG as now gone to tender for over…
Heat Pumps For Energy Savings

Heat Pumps For Energy Savings

Heat pumps or air conditioners were invented in the early 1900’s and now are the most cost effective for heating…
Moos Law for Food Disruption

Moos Law for Food Disruption

Food disruption using precision fermentation is moving at Moos Law. Costs are coming down exponentialy and no end in sight…
Electric Ships

Electric Ships

Coastal shipping with swap out electric container batteris have always been proposed to decarbonise shipping. Now the first 2 by…
Robotic Surgery Revolution

Robotic Surgery Revolution

Robotic surgery is saving lives but is a the beginning of the robotic revolution. Vicarious Surgical is planning to use…
Queensland Pumped Hydro Proposals

Queensland Pumped Hydro Proposals

Queensland has announced 2 large pumped hydro schemes costing over $30 billion and not due to come onliine on 2029…
Green Steel with Carbon Capture Unlikely

Green Steel with Carbon Capture Unlikely

Green steel produced by direct reduction is likely to have metallurgical coal become a stranded asset, as cost reductions and…
Active Transport Challenges

Active Transport Challenges

Transport planners globally talk about active transport challenges to get people out of cars and into active transport (Walking, mobility…
Terraform’s Innovative Methane E-fuel

Terraform’s Innovative Methane E-fuel

Terraform has announced a pilot solar powered synthetic methane gas process that could provide gas created from CO2 from air…

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓

Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Industry 4.0

This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line.

Commercialing innovative technologies
Innovation over the past 100 years has been an “S” Curve (from Tony Seba, www.RethinkX.com)

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.