Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.

Molten Oxide Electrolysis for Green Steel

Molten Oxide Electrolysis for Green Steel

The molten oxide electrolysis process by Boston Metals has the opportunity to revolutionise steel refining. During the past decade, they have progressed from lab scale to millions of tonnes industrial process and would enable rapid decarbonisation of the steel industry.
AMOC Tipping Point – Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

AMOC Tipping Point – Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

The Atlantic meridional overturning cirulating current coiuld be a major risk from climate change. No one can predict, but 7m sea rises and 5 degree termperature for Northern Europe.
Tidal & Wave Power Untapped Energy

Tidal & Wave Power Untapped Energy

Tidal and wave power are untapped energy resources yet despite 2 decades have scarely moved beyond demonstration and pilot systems. The marine environment is harse, bespoke and has severe enironmental and social barriers.
1000-Mile Battery Innovations

1000-Mile Battery Innovations

Multiple manufacturers announce progress in lithium batteries. Increasing density, decreasing cost, increasing range, faster charging, more cycle life. Will the 1000-mile battery make it into vehicles by 2030?
USA Electricity Is Going Renewable – Rapidly

USA Electricity Is Going Renewable – Rapidly

Globally, renewable energy is the dominant new electricity generation. The USA is followng other countries, particularly China with with over 99.8% electricity generation to come from solar wind and solar in 2024.
Tesla Optimus Robot Worth trillions by 2030

Tesla Optimus Robot Worth trillions by 2030

Chris Camillo predicts a business with the Tesla Optimus robot worth trillions by 2030. Two 2 years ago Tesla announced Optimus at AI day on 21st Aug 2021, with an updated AI day on 1st Oct 2022. Optimus gained motion, dexterity and brains. Tesla developed its…
Steel from Aluminium Waste

Steel from Aluminium Waste

Red mud is a hazardous waste from aluminium production and research is underway to extract the steel from aluminium waste. Using waste product from the aluminium industry to produce valuable green steel is promising. Can it scale from lab scale to production in a timely manner…
Green Steel Easy to Abate?

Green Steel Easy to Abate?

Green steel shouild be viewed as fast-to-abate not hard-to-abort as is generally viewed. Using renewable energy reduces emissions in all parts of the steel refinery emissions.
Can Legacy Automakers Ever Catch Tesla?

Can Legacy Automakers Ever Catch Tesla?

Tesla is leading the automotive industry in innovative manufacturing. EVs key focus is weight reduction. Will others catch up. The conclusion is Chinese will, but legacy will have too many barriers with management.
Breakthrough AI Geometry

Breakthrough AI Geometry

Google has delivered a geometry AI model that now out-performs the best school mathematical olympiads by providing 0.5b examples. The software is available through GitHub and mark a breakthrough into the capacity of AI to solve real world problems.
Custom Design AI Compute Chips

Custom Design AI Compute Chips

Custom design AI computer chips need faster and more available compute resources. Along with established NVidia, Intel are new entrants including Tesla Dojo and Cerebras Systems as they focus on hardware and software to increase speed and decrease power consumption
Precision Fermentation Food Cost-Competitive

Precision Fermentation Food Cost-Competitive

The production of food using precision fermentation is set to revolutionise food production. Using 3% of the resources of dairy protein, PF will disrupt agriculture. An Israeli company claims cheaper protein, FDA has approved, and production is underway.
Batteries Mounted on Power Poles for Community Batteries

Batteries Mounted on Power Poles for Community Batteries

In 2019, United Energy in Melbourne trialled power pole mounted batteries for local community storage and electricity services. A Brisbane Company is extending that with commercial products.
Ten Solid State Battery Announcements

Ten Solid State Battery Announcements

Solid state battery announcements are from mutliple battery vendors. Promising faster charging, longer lifetime with greater energy density is the promise, but the challenge has been to match PR releases with reality. Schaeffler is the latest to enter the space.
Bloomberg Vehicle Outlook: Out by 20 years

Bloomberg Vehicle Outlook: Out by 20 years

Bloomberg EV outlook forecasts for more than 1 year out should be ignored. Reviewing Vehicle Outlook Reports from 2016 to 2023 demonstrate straight line predictions, and not the exponential rise due to lower battery costs and EV giants BYD and Tesla on their 50% year on…
Impact of AI on Job Creation and Disruption

Impact of AI on Job Creation and Disruption

IMF report says the impact of Artificial Intelligence on job creation and disruption will be much more in the developed country with over 40% of jobs impacted. In contrast, only 26% of jobs in low-income countries will be affected
Food from Coal

Food from Coal

Protein from coal – something in science fixtion, yet scientists have grown protein using preceision fermentation using a designer bacteria. With coal as the feedstock, whats next
Comparison of Synthetic Ethanol and Methanol

Comparison of Synthetic Ethanol and Methanol

Synthetic ethanol and methanol are to reduce emissions in production to provide a near zero fuel. However, when burnt they still produce CO2 emissions.
Paraplegics Walking Again

Paraplegics Walking Again

Paraplegics are walking again – not 5 to 10 years away. Research in multiple research and companies are looking to have better brain interfaces which then can interface to voice, vision and mobility.
Green Methanol: A Potential Clean Fuel Solution

Green Methanol: A Potential Clean Fuel Solution

Methanol is a candidate for replacement of black methanol, but weth the right technology and pricing, green methanol could compete with black methanol.

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓

Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Industry 4.0

This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line.

Commercialing innovative technologies
Innovation over the past 100 years has been an “S” Curve (from Tony Seba, www.RethinkX.com)

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.